Tropical Cyclone Seasonal Outlook for November 2026 to April 2027 is available now.
* El Niño is currently strengthening and is likely to reach strong to very strong levels through January and March 2027. The event may become the strongest El Niño recorded since 1950 and is expected to persist until at least March–May 2027. 2.
* A strong El Niño is expected to influence weather and climate patterns across the country, resulting in varying impacts in different parts of Tuvalu.
* Normal to below-normal tropical cyclone activity is expected across Tuvalu from November 2026 to April 2027. Zero to one named tropical cyclone is forecast to occur within Tuvalu's Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ), with severe tropical cyclone activity considered unlikely during this period.
* Tropical disturbances and depressions that do not attain Tropical Cyclone intensity, known as unnamed tropical cyclone systems, can also cause strong and gusty winds, heavy swells, widespread rainfall, coastal inundation, and flooding in low-lying and coastal areas.
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Matematega vaitau Matagi Afaa Vaitau: Novema 2026 kia Apelila 2027
* Kogaatai mafanafana (El Nino) koi tumau loa tena malosi, kae matemategina me fanaka tena malosi ke oko kia Ianuali mo Mati 2027. Te kogatai mafanafana ka mafai o malosi kii i fakamaumauga mai tausaga 1950, fakatautau ke oko tena malosi kia Mati-Mee 2027.
* Te malosi ote kogaatai mafanafana ka aumai neia pokotiaga kesekese ki luga i tulaga o vaiua i tou atufenua.
* Seai kite tasi o matagi afaa ka matemategina me mafai o fakaigoa/poko iloto ite kogatai o Tuvalu (EEZ). E matemategina foki me ka seai se matagi afaaa ka nofo tena malosi kite 64 85 nooti e fakamafua aka iloto itou koga tai (EEZ).
* Matagi malosi io meko lukuga ea malalo, kola se oko olotou malosi ki taupula o saikolone/matagi afaa kola masani o fakaigoa, e mafai foki o fakapokotia ei tou atufenua mai kaumatagi malosi, matagi tuu faka kautaufa, galu peau maluga, vaiua too lotu, lofia kogaakoga pilipili I kogaatai pena foki koga malalo o tou fenua.
> Stay alert, stay informed, and be ready!
> Follow updates from the Tuvalu Meteorological Service (TMS) and take the necessary steps to protect yourself, your family, and your community.
Together, let's stay safe and ensure no one is left behind!