📍DECLARE: THE IMPACT OF A STRONG El Niño IN TUVALU.

* A strong El Niño is now developing and may continue until early year of 2027.

Dry Season (May to October, 2026)

• Weaker trade winds, along with increasing intense rainfall and cloud patterns, are currently indicative of a strong El Niño event.
• Warmer Sea Surface Temperatures tends to trigger mean sea level heights, storm surge and coastal erosion.
• Wetter conditions - above normal rainfall throughout most of Tuvalu groups.
• Warmer sea and air temperature - Potentially high incidence of coral bleaching.

Wet Season (November 2026 to April, 2027)

• Wetter conditions - normal to above normal rainfall throughout northern and central groups – hence, for southern groups may experience below-normal rainfall or prolonged dry spells.
• Increasing intense rainfall and cloud patterns, may lead to severe weather.
• Warmer sea and air temperature - Potentially high incidence of coastal inundation.
• There is high potential for an intense tropical cyclone to develop or pass near our EEZ.

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📍FAKAPULAGA: POKOTIAGA TE MALOSI O TE El Niño I TUVALU.

* Ate Malosi ote El Niño ko fakamafua kae fakasoko atu loa kite kamataga ote tausaga 2027.

VAITAU MUTANA VAIUA (Mee kia Oketopa, 2026)

• Te matagi tutumau ka see malosi, ka fakamafua neia vaiua uke kii mai te fakaputuga o kaumana, tela nei e fakailoa mai ei me ko malosi kii a te kogaa tai mafanafana tela kote El Niño.
• Kogaa tai mafanafana ka fakamafua neia te pokotiaga ote maluga ote tai, malua o peau o matagi malosi mo te kaina o te tafatai.
• Uke kii vaiua - A Fenua o Tuvalu ka nofo ana aofaki vaiua mai luga atu o aofaki o vaiua masani.
• Te mafanafana o te tai mo te ea - e lasi kii te fakapokotia neia te mate o kamu.

VAITAU UKE KII VAIUA (Novema 2026 kia Apelila, 2027)

• Uke kii vaiua - Mo fenua ki matuu mote kogaaloto, ka maua ne latou ne vaiua e uke kii mai luga atu o aofaki o vaiua masani, kae mo fenua ki saute ka maua ne latou ne aofaki vaiua mai lalo o aofaki o vaiua masani, io me ka mafai o mutana kii vaiua e maua ne latou.
• Te uke o vaiua mai kaumana solo e fakamafua ne latou a aso masei kii.
• Te mafanafana o te tai mo te ea - e lasi kii te fakamafua neia ate lofia o kogakoga malalo o fenua.
• Ka lasi te mafai o isi ne matagi afaa malosi kii ka fakamafua i koga tai mo tafatafa o Tuvalu.